DM topic guide
Probability
Calculate single, combined and conditional outcomes.
Guide page7 of 7
Probability
Calculate single, combined and conditional outcomes.
Methoda clear route through this question type
1
List the relevant outcomes.
2
Mark replacement and dependence.
5
Check the answer stays between 0 and 1.
◎How to spot it
What will the question look like?
Look for and, or, without replacement, given that and at least one.
✦Rules to remember
Keep these in view
- AND usually means multiply along a path.
- OR adds mutually exclusive routes.
- Without replacement changes the next fraction.
- At least one is often easiest with 1 minus none.
⚑Common traps
What tends to pull students off course
- Adding overlapping outcomes
- Assuming independence
- Reversing conditional probability
See it in actionProbability in context
From a bag with 3 red and 2 blue, two reds without replacement is 3/5 × 2/4 = 3/10.
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